Forex Master

Concern of the nuclear crisis in Japan, causing a sharp and sudden rise of the yen

2011-03-29T16:29:00.000-07:00

The Japanese Yen saw significant gains
against all major currencies before the start of the evening session
directly, helping nuclear leakage in Japan after the country's
vulnerability to the tsunami last week, continue to provide support for
the Japanese currency is safe. USD / JPY fell over 300 points within
minutes and scored a record low before rebounding during the night.At
the present time, the pair is at a level of 79.50.

Economic Analysis

USD USD

- The dollar is corrected against the yen in afternoon session
USD continued to make gains against
the euro in the afternoon session, as investors continue to seek
safe-havens in the wake of last week, Japan was the waves of the tsunami
and earthquake. While the euro / dollar above the 1.3900 handle again,
the pair fell nearly 100 points during the four hours and twenty
years.At the same time, enabling the dollar to rebound against the yen,
after falling last night. The dollar / yen below a record level of 76.40
before the movement correction in the evening session. The pair
currently stands at 79.50.Today, traders are advised to follow the
continuing developments in Japan, where it continues the threat of
nuclear catastrophe in effect on the markets. The probability that the
rumors of government intervention to push the Japanese yen to the
stability has helped to stabilize the pairs like USD / JPY and GBP /
JPY.At the same time, if additional tensions have emerged in Japan, the
dollar could drop again today. In addition, traders will focus in
particular on the Claims of U.S. unemployment, which will be announced
today at 12:30 GMT.In the focus of investors at this time in particular
on what is happening in Japan, the dollar may be exposed to short-term
gains only if the report came down in U.S. unemployment.

EUR EUR

- Higher risk aversion leads to the decline of the euro
Suffered extensive losses to the euro
against all major currencies during the Asian session, as risk aversion
continues to dominate the market. And pay the ongoing crisis in Japan
investors to safe-haven assets such as the U.S. dollar and the Japanese
yen and Swiss franc. In addition to the decline of the euro / dollar at
level 1.3900, EUR / CHF, including more than 100 points last night, and
is currently trading around the 1.2525 level. The euro / yen by almost
400 points last night, but recovered gradually since then. The pair at a
time when the current level of 110.20. During today's trading, are
likely to be the news coming from Japan is what will determine the point
of the euro.Sophie and the fact that traders should follow the
developments of two things. The first is the possibility that the
constant threat of a nuclear crisis to happen in Japan caused in the
payment of high-risk currencies like the euro to more N decline.The
second thing is the rumors of Japanese government intervention in the
currency market if the yen at levels become very strong, which may help
the euro to take advantage of this situation. If the Bank of Japan
decided to intervene to maintain the stability of the market today, the
euro may be able to recoup some losses.

Japanese Yen JPY

- The threat of a nuclear crisis leads to higher yen
In the wake of the devastating
earthquake and tsunami which struck Japan last week, investors continue
to go to the yen as a safe-haven currency.The Japanese currency saw
significant gains against the U.S. dollar, euro and pound and Swiss
franc in the last night before to correct the same in the evening
session. Analysts attributed the bullish behavior of acute Lin
continuing threat of nuclear disaster in Japan, which caused investors
sought more stable assets.At the same time, helped to rumors that the
Bank of Japan will intervene in the currency market soon to stop the
sharp upward momentum of the yen on the return of stability to the
market. Today, traders will monitor any developments in the efforts to
control the probability of a threat of a nuclear crisis in the real
Japan.Due to the lack of completeness of vision in Japan and the
emergence of new problems all the time, is expected to remain the market
without a specific position at this time.

Crude Oil Crude oil

- Crude Oil resumes downward behavior
After the sharp rise in oil prices at
the beginning of the trading day yesterday, turned this cough to the
downward trend in the afternoon session did not show any interruption to
the low prices. At present, crude oil is trading at around 97.55
dollars a barrel, down from the record level of 99.57 yesterday.Analysts
attributed the bearish behavior of oil to the final reading, which came
the report that U.S. crude inventories, which were at 1.7 million. This
reading has indicated high to lower demand for oil in the largest oil
consuming country in the world. As a result, prices began to
decline.During the trading day, traders will focus on any developments
in Japan and that may affect the movement of the market. If investors
continue to demand the assets most dangerous because of the unrest in
Japan, it is unlikely to decline commodities such as oil even more.

Technical Analysis

EUR / USD EUR / USD
Evidenced by the RSI and the extent
of Williams on the graph relative to eight hours and the daily chart
that the pair is moving in the neutral zone. Technical indicators do not
provide a clear direction today, so traders will have to wait and watch
this pair today.

Fairy Alastrellne / USD GBP / USD
Evidenced by the relative extent and
Williams on the daily chart that the pair is moving in the oversold
territory, suggesting that a bullish correction might take place today.
Supports this theory, the RSI chart for four hours. May be a good
strategy today is long with tight stops.

USD / JPY USD / JPY
All the technical indicators suggest
that this pair is in oversold territory, which means that a bullish
correction might take place today. And shows a bullish cross on the Slow
Stochastic on the graph to eight hours, while the RSI chart for four
hours in the oversold territory. Thus, it may be preferable to purchase
today.

U.S. Dollar / Swiss Franc USD / CHF
Shows a bullish cross on the Slow
Stochastic on the chart for eight hours, which indicates that the upward
movement may be achieved in the near future. Moreover, it appeared to
widen the Bollinger Band on the same graph, which means he is expected
to change the price.It may be preferable strategy today.

AUD / USD AUD / USD
Intersects the relative extent and
Williams on the daily chart is in oversold territory. At the same time,
RSI chart for four hours over the lower support line.If the intersection
of this indicator in the oversold territory, you'll be Forex traders
have a great opportunity to open long positions and take advantage of
the impending upward movement

القلق من الأزمة النووية في اليابان يتسبب في ارتفاع حاد ومفاجئ للين

2011-03-29T16:23:00.002-07:00

القلق من الأزمة النووية في اليابان يتسبب في ارتفاع حاد ومفاجئ للين

شهد
الين الياباني ارتفاعات كبيرة مقابل جميع العملات الأساسية قبل بداية
الجلسة المسائية مباشرةً، حيث يساعد التسرب النووي في اليابان بعد تعرض
البلاد لتسونامي الأسبوع الماضي على استمرار تقديم الدعم للين الياباني
كعملة آمنة. انخفض الدولار/ ين بما يزيد عن 300 نقطة خلال دقائق وسجل أدنى
مستوى قياسي له قبل الارتداد خلال الليل. وفي الوقت الحالي، يقع هذا الزوج
عند مستوى 79.50.

التحليل الاقتصادي

الدولار الامريكي USD

- الدولار يشهد تصحيح مقابل الين في الجلسة المسائية
استمر
الدولار الأمريكي في تحقيق ارتفاعات مقابل اليورو في الجلسة المسائية، حيث
يستمر المستثمرون في السعي إلى عملات الملاذ الآمن في أعقاب تعرض اليابان
الأسبوع الماضي لموجات تسونامي والزلزال المدمر. وبينما أصبح اليورو/
دولار فوق مستوى 1.3900 مرة أخرى، انخفض هذا الزوج بما يقارب 100 نقطة
خلال الأربع وعشرين ساعة الماضية. وفي الوقت ذاته، تمكن الدولار من
الارتداد مقابل الين بعد انخفاضه الليلة الماضية. وقد سجل الدولار/ ين
أدنى مستوى قياسي عند مستوى 76.40 قبل أن يقوم بحركة تصحيح في الجلسة
المسائية. ويقع هذا الزوج في الوقت الحالي عند 79.50. واليوم، ننصح التجار
بتتبع التطورات المستمرة في اليابان، حيث يستمر التهديد بحدوث كارثة نووية
في التأثير على الأسواق. كما أن الإشاعات باحتمالية تدخل الحكومة
اليابانية لدفع الين إلى الاستقرار قد ساعدت على استقرار أزواج مثل
الدولار/ ين والباوند/ ين. وفي الوقت ذاته، إذا ظهرت توترات إضافية في
اليابان، فقد ينخفض الدولار مرة أخرى اليوم. بالإضافة إلى ذلك، سيكون على
التجار التركيز بشكل خاص على المعدلات الأسبوعية للشكاوى من البطالة
الأمريكية التي سيتم الإعلان عنها اليوم في الساعة 12:30 بتوقيت جرينتش.
وفي ظل تركيز المستثمرين في الوقت الحالي بشكل خاص على ما يحدث في
اليابان، قد يتعرض الدولار لارتفاعات قصيرة المدى فقط إذا جاء هذا التقرير
بانخفاض في البطالة الأمريكية.

اليورو EUR

- ارتفاع معدل كره المخاطر يؤدي إلى انخفاض اليورو
تعرض
اليورو لخسائر مكثفة مقابل جميع العملات الأساسية خلال الجلسة الآسيوية،
حيث يستمر معدل كره المخاطر في السيطرة على السوق. وتدفع الأزمة المستمرة
في اليابان بالمستثمرين إلى الأصول الآمنة مثل الدولار الأمريكي والين
الياباني والفرنك السويسري. بالإضافة إلى انخفاض اليورو/ دولار باتجاه
مستوى 1.3900، انخفض اليورو/ فرنك بما يزيد عن 100 نقطة الليلة الماضية،
ويقع تداوله في الوقت الحالي حول مستوى 1.2525. وانخفض اليورو/ ين بمقدار
400 نقطة تقريبًا الليلة الماضية، ولكنه تعافى تدريجيًا منذ ذلك الحين.
ويقع هذا الزوج في الوقت الحالي عند مستوى 110.20. خلال التداول اليوم، من
المحتمل أن تكون الأخبار القادمة من اليابان هي ما ستحدد وجهة اليورو.
وسوفي كون على التجار متابعة تطورات أمرين. الأول هو احتمالية أن يكون
التهديد المستمر بحدوث أزمة نووية في اليابان سبب في دفع العملات عالية
المخاطر مثل اليورو إلى المزيد ن الانخفاض. والأمر الثاني هو الشائعات
بتدخل الحكومة اليابانية في سوق العملات إذا ما أصبح الين عند مستويات
قوية للغاية، مما قد يساعد اليورو على الاستفادة من هذا الوضع. إذا قرر
بنك اليابان التدخل للحفاظ على استقرار الأسواق اليوم، فقد يتمكن اليورو
من تعويض بعض ما تكبده من خسائر.

الين الياباني JPY

- التهديد بحدوث أزمة نووية يؤدي إلى ارتفاع الين
في
أعقاب الزلزال المدمر وموجات تسونامي اللذان ضربا اليابان الأسبوع الماضي،
يستمر المستثمرون في التوجه إلى الين بصفته عملة ملاذ آمن. وقد شهدت
العملة اليابانية ارتفاعات كبيرة مقابل الدولار الأمريكي واليورو والباوند
والفرنك السويسري في الليلة الماضية قبل أن يصحح نفسه في الجلسة المسائية.
وقد عزا المحللون السلوك الصعودي الحاد للين إلى استمرار التهديد بحدوث
كارثة نووية في اليابان، وهو ما تسبب في بحث المستثمرين عن أصول أكثر
استقرارًا. في الوقت ذاته، ساعدت الإشاعات بان البنك الياباني سوف يتدخل
في سوق العملات قريبًا لإيقاف الزخم الصعودي الحاد للين على عودة
الاستقرار إلى السوق. واليوم، سيراقب التجار أي تطورات في الجهود المبذولة
للسيطرة على التهديد باحتمالية حدوث أزمة نووية حقيقية في اليابان. ونظرًا
لعدم اكتمال الرؤية في اليابان وظهور مشاكل جديدة طوال الوقت، من المتوقع
أن يظل السوق بدون موقف محدد في الوقت الحالي.

النفط الخام Crude oil

- النفط الخام يستأنف السلوك الهبوطي
بعد
الارتفاع الحاد في أسعار النفط في بداية يوم التداول يوم أمس، تحوّلت هذه
السعلة إلى الاتجاه الهبوطي في جلسة الظهيرة ولم يظهر أي توقف لانخفاض
الأسعار. وفي الوقت الحالي، يقع تداول النفط الخام حول مستوى 97.55 دولار
للبرميل، منخفضًا من مستوى 99.57 الذي سجله يوم أمس. وقد عزا المحللون هذا
السلوك الهبوطي للنفط إلى القراءة الأخيرة التي جاء بها تقرير مخزونات
النفط الأمريكي الخام والتي كانت عند 1.7 مليون. فقد أشارت هذه القراءة
المرتفعة إلى تراجع الطلب على النفط في اكبر دولة مستهلكة للنفط في
العالم. ونتيجة لذلك، بدأت الأسعار في الانخفاض. وخلال التداول اليوم،
سيكون على التجار التركيز على أي تطورات في اليابان والتي قد تؤثر على
حركة الأسواق. وإذا استمر المستثمرون في الإقبال على الأصول الأخطر بسبب
الاضطرابات في اليابان، فمن المحتمل انخفاض السلع مثل النفط بشكل اكبر.

التحليل الفني

اليورو/الدولار الامريكي EUR/USD
يظهر
من خلال مؤشر القوة النسبية ومدى ويليامز النسبي على الرسم البياني
للثماني ساعات والرسم البياني اليومي أن هذا الزوج يتحرك في المنطقة
المحايدة. ولا تقدم المؤشرات الفنية اتجاه واضح اليوم، وبالتالي سيكون على
التجار الانتظار ومراقبة هذا الزوج اليوم.

الجنية الاستريلني/الدولار الامريكيGBP/USD
يظهر
من خلال مدى ويليامز النسبي على الرسم البياني اليومي أن هذا الزوج يتحرك
في منطقة ذروة البيع، مما يدل على أن التصحيح الصعودي قد يتحقق اليوم.
ويدعم هذه النظرية مؤشر القوة النسبية الرسم البياني للأربع ساعات. وقد
تكون الإستراتيجية الجيدة اليوم هي الشراء مع نقاط وقف قريبة.

الدولار الامريكي / الين اليابانيUSD/JPY
تشير
جميع المؤشرات الفنية إلى أن هذا الزوج يقع في منطقة ذروة البيع، مما يعني
أن التصحيح الصعودي قد يتحقق اليوم. ويظهر تقاطع صعودي على الاستوكاستك
البطيء على الرسم البياني للثماني ساعات، بينما يتحرك مؤشر القوة النسبية
على الرسم البياني للأربع ساعات في منطقة ذروة البيع. وبالتالي قد يكون من
المفضل الشراء اليوم.

الدولار الامريكي/الفرنك السويسري USD/CHF
يظهر
تقاطع صعودي على الاستوكاستك البطيء على الرسم البياني للثماني ساعات، مما
يدل على أن الحركة الصعودية قد تتحقق في المستقبل القريب. علاوة على ذلك،
بدا البولنجر باند في الاتساع على نفس الرسم البياني، مما يعني انه من
المتوقع تغير السعر. وقد يكون الشراء هو الإستراتيجية المفضلة اليوم.

الدولار الاسترالي / الدولار الامريكي AUD/USD
يتقاطع
مدى ويليامز النسبي على الرسم البياني اليومي في منطقة ذروة البيع. وفي
الوقت ذاته، يتحرك مؤشر القوة النسبية على الرسم البياني للأربع ساعات فوق
خط الدعم السفلي. وإذا تقاطع هذا المؤشر في منطقة ذروة البيع، فسوف يكون
لدى تجار الفوركس فرصة كبيرة لفتح صفقات شراء والاستفادة من الحركة
الصعودية الوشيكة.

الدولار يستأنف الهبوط

2011-03-29T16:23:00.001-07:00

فوركس يارد تقدم لكم التحليل اليومي الشامل لسوق الفوركس على يد فريق مكون من خبراء في التحليل الفني التي تحرص دائما على تقديم افضل الخدمات لعملائها.

الدولار يستأنف اتجاهه الهبوطي

انخفض الدولار مقابل العملات الأساسية
يوم أمس، حيث استمر التجار في استخدام الدولار كعملة تمويل في صفقات
الشراء بالاقتراض. وكانت البيانات الايجابية الخاصة بالمستهلك والقطاع
العقاري الأمريكي قد شجعت الدولار على استئناف هذا الاتجاه طويل المدى.
واليوم، سيكون التركيز على مؤشر ثقة المستهلك الأمريكي الذي سيتم الإعلان
عنه في فترة الظهيرة.

التحليل الاقتصادي

الدولار الامريكي USD

- البيانات الاقتصادية الأمريكية تحفز عمليات بيع الدولار
بعد قوة الدولار التي شهدناها في النصف
الثاني من الأسبوع الماضي، استأنف الدولار اتجاهه الهبوطي طويل المدى بعد
أن ساعدت البيانات الاقتصادية الأمريكية الايجابية على عودة التجار إلى
صفقات بيع الدولار الأمريكي. خلال التداول يوم أمس، سجل الدخل الشخصي
الأمريكي ارتفاع بنسبة 0.3% لشهر فبراير، وذلك بعد ارتفاع القراءة المعدلة
لشهر يناير بنسبة 1.2%. وبينما كانت هذه النسبة أقل من نسبة الارتفاع التي
توقعها رجال الاقتصاد عند 0.5%، إلا أن ارتفاع القراءة المعدلة لشهر يناير
من 1.0% إلى 1.2% كان كافيًا ليعطي هذا التقرير نغمة ايجابية. كما ارتفع
معدل الإنفاق الشخصي بنسبة 0.7%، بينما سجلت القراءة المعدلة لشهر يناير
ارتفاع إلى 0.3% من 0.2%. وكانت التوقعات هي ارتفاع هذا المؤشر في فبراير
بنسبة 0.6%. تراجع الدولار عن ارتفاعاته قبل الإعلان عن البيانات
الأمريكية، حيث لم يبالي التجار بالتوترات الجيوسياسية في الشرق الأوسط،
ووجدوا أنه من الأفضل شراء اليورو والباوند والدولار الكندي. وقد جاء
تقرير مبيعات المنازل التي لم تتم عمليات بناؤها بقراءة أقوى من التوقعات،
مما شجع على بيع الدولار الأمريكي، حيث ارتفع هذا التقرير بنسبة 2.1% ،
بينما كانت تشير التوقعات إلى انخفاضه بنسبة 0.5%. ويعتبر ارتفاع قراءة
مبيعات النازل إشارة مشجعة من الاقتصاد لأمريكي، خاصةً وأن هذا التقرير
كان قد سجل انخفاض في يناير بنسبة 2.8%. وفي أعقاب قوة البيانات
الاقتصادية الأمريكية، ارتفع اليورو/ دولار إلى مستوى 1.4115قبل أن يتراجع
ويغلق عند مستوى 1.4083. وافتتح هذا الزوج أسبوع التداول عند مستوى
1.4041. كما ارتفع الباوند/ دولار وسجل أعلى مستوى له عند 1.6036 وأغلق
عند مستوى 1.6024 بعد الافتتاح عند مستوى 1.6002. وكان أداء الدولار
الكندي قوي يوم أمس، حيث سجل الدولار الأمريكي/ الدولار الكندي أدنى مستوى
له عند 0.9749 وأغلق عند مستوى 0.9764. وسوف يكون تركيز التجار اليوم موجه
إلى المزيد من البيانات الأمريكية عن المستهلك، حيث سيتم الإعلان عن مؤشر
ثقة المستهلك من "كونفرنس بورد"، والذي من المتوقع انخفاضه إلى مستوى 64.9
من مستوى 70.4 الذي كان عليه في يناير. وتعتبر البيانات المنتظرة اليوم هو
أول البيانات الهامة هذا الأسبوع التي ستنتهي بتقرير التوظيف الأمريكي
بغير القطاع الزراعي.

اليورو EUR

- التجار يركزون على السياسة النقدية
ارتد كلاً من اليورو والباوند
البريطاني عن أدنى المستويات يوم أمس، حيث تجددت عمليات بيع الدولار
الأمريكي من التجار مقابل العملات الأوروبية، وذلك وسط توقعات بارتفاع
العوائد على هذه العملات بسبب رفع أسعار الفائدة المتوقع من كلاً من البنك
المركزي الأوروبي والبنك البريطاني. وعلى عكس أمريكا، سجلت معدلات التضخم
في منطقة اليورو وفي بريطانيا ارتفاعات غير مريحة، حيث كانت هذه المعدلات
تفوق المعدلات المستهدفة من البنوك المركزية. وأدى هذا بالتالي إلى تركيز
التجار على الفروق في العوائد في أسوق الفوركس، ووضع القلق بشأن التوترات
الجيوسياسية والمشاكل الآلية في المرتبة الثانية. وفي ظل سلسلة البيانات
السلبية من منطقة اليورو، كان التجار متسامحين مع اليورو، حيث انخفض
اليورو بمقدار 2 سنت فقط مقابل الدولار الأسبوع الماضي. وفي بداية الأسبوع
الماضي، عززت وكالة ستاندرد آند بور من النظرة السلبية للتصنيف الائتماني
البرتغالي، وقالت انه قد يكون هناك تقليل إضافي للتصنيف الائتماني قريبًا.
وخلال الأجازة الأسبوعية، خسر حزب انجيلا ميركل انتخابات إقليمية. وهذه هي
المرة الثانية لهذا العام التي يخسر فيها حزب ميركل للسيطرة على هامبورج.
وعلى الرغم من تدهور الوضع المالي والسياسي في أوروبا، إلا أن التجار
يركزون على التوقعات لخاصة برفع أسعار الفائدة في منطقة اليورو وفي
بريطانيا. وسوف يترك هذا الأمر اليورو والباوند في موقف جيد للارتفاع أكثر
مقابل الدولار الأمريكي، حيث من غير المتوقع رفع أسعار الفائدة الأمريكية،
كما أنه من المتوقع أن يكمل البنك الفيدرالي برنامج شراء السندات الذي
تبلغ قيمته 600 مليار دولار للربع الثاني. تقع المقاومة الخاصة باليورو/
دولار عند مستوى 1.4140، ويليه مستوى 1.4250 وهو أعلى مستوى خلال الأسبوع
الماضي. وفي حالة الارتفاع فوق مستوى 1.4280 فقد يستهدف الارتفاع مستوى
1.4580 والذي يمثل أعلى مستوى سجله في يناير 2010. بينما يقع الدعم عند
مستوى 1.4020وهو أدنى مستوى سجله هذا الأسبوع، ويليه مستوى 1.3980
و1.3860.

الين الياباني JPY

- المستوى 82 يعني كمستوى مقاومة قوي للدولار/ ين
صدرت بيانات ايجابية هذا الصباح عن
الاقتصاد اليابان، حيث انخفض معدل البطالة اليابانية إلى مستوى 4.6% من
4.9%.، بينما كانت تشير توقعات الاقتصاديين إلى عدم تغير معدل البطالة.
وارتفعت مبيعات التجزئة بنسبة 0.1% مقابل التوقعات التي تشير إلى قراءة
-0.4%. وبينما تعتبر هذه البيانات الاقتصادية جيدة للغاية بالنسبة
للاقتصاد الياباني، غلا أنه علينا أن نتذكر أن هذه البيانات تم حسابها
وتجميعها قبل الزلزال والتسونامي، ولم تصل الآثار الاقتصادية من هذه
الكارثة إلى البيانات الاقتصادية حتى الآن. خلال التداول يوم أمس، افتقر
الين الياباني إلى التذبذب، حيث تحرك الدولار/ ين بمقدار 43 نقطة فقط،
بينما يبلغ متوسط المدى الحقيقي (14) لهذا الزوج 95 نقطة. وقد ارتفع هذا
الزوج إلى مستوى 81.84 قبل أن يتراجع ليغلق عند مستوى 81.71. ولا بد أن
يعمل مستوى 82.00 مستوى مقاومة قوي، بينما يأتي الدعم عند مستوى 80.60.

النفط الخام Crude oil

- انخفاض أسعار النفط الخام الفورية على الرغم من التوترات في الشرق الأوسط
انخفضت أسعار النفط الخام لليوم الثاني
على التوالي إلى مستوى 103.75 دولار للبرميل يوم الثلاثاء حيث حصل الثوار
الليبيون على قوة قابل القائد معمر القذافي، مما يدعم التوقعات بان العروض
النفطية الليبية قد تعود في وقت أسرع مما هو متوقع. كان الثوار الليبيين
بتشجيع من الضربات القوية الغربية ضد قوات القذافي قد استعادوا السيطرة
على موانئ النفط الأساسية في البلاد. وقد كان هذا بعد اجتماع ما يزيد عن
40 منظمة حكومية ودولية يوم الثلاثاء في لندن في محاولة لوضع أساس في
ليبيا بدون القذافي. خلال التداول اليوم، على التجار تتبع التطورات في
الشرق الأوسط، حيث ستستمر هذه القضية في التأثير على أسعار النفط في
المستقبل القريب. كما ننصح التجار بتتبع تقرير ثقة المستهلك من كونفرنس
بورد في الساعة 14:00 بتوقيت جرينتش، حيث يميل هذا التقرير لأن يكون له
تأثير مباشر على السوق وعلى أسعار النفط.

التحليل الفني

اليورو/الدولار الامريكي EUR/USD
تظهر إشارات متضاربة على الرسم البياني
للأربع ساعات، حيث يتحرك مؤشر القوة النسبية في المنطقة المحايدة. إلا انه
يوجد تقاطع صعودي جديد على الاستوكاستك البطيء على الرس البياني اليومي
مما يدل على أن التصحيح الصعودي قد يتحقق في المستقبل القريب. وعندما
يتحقق الاختراق الصعودي، ستكون الإستراتيجية المفضلة هي الشراء مع نقاط
وقف قريبة.

الجنية الاستريلني/الدولار الامريكيGBP/USD
ينخفض هذا الزوج منذ عدة أيام وحتى
الآن، حيث يقع الآن عند مستوى 1.6030. ويظهر تقاطع صعودي على الاستوكاستك
البطيء على الرسم البياني اليومي، ما يدل على أن التصحيح الصعودي وشيك.
ويدعم هذه الفكرة مؤشر القوة النسبية على الرسم البياني للثماني ساعات.
وبالتالي قد يكون الخيار المناسب اليوم هو الشراء مع نقاط وقف قريبة.

الدولار الامريكي / الين اليابانيUSD/JPY
سجل هذا الزوج سلوك صعودي في الأيام
القليلة الماضية، إلا أن البيانات الفنية تشير إلى أن هذا الاتجاه قد
ينعكس في أي وقت قريب. على سبيل المثال، يشير الاستوكاستك البطيء على
الرسم البياني للثماني ساعات إلى أن الانعكاس الهبوطي وشيك. كما يدعم فكرة
الاتجاه الهبوطي اليوم مؤشر القوة النسبية على الرسم البياني للأربع
ساعات. وقد يكون الخيار المناسب اليوم هو البيع مع نقاط وقف قريبة.

الدولار الامريكي/الفرنك السويسري USD/CHF
كان هذا الزوج يتحرك يوم أمس في اتجاه
هبوطي، ويقع في الوقت الحالي عند مستوى 0.9145. ويدعم الاستوكاستك البطيء
على الرسم البياني اليومي فكرة انخفاض هذا الزوج أكثر اليوم. إلا أن مؤشر
القوة النسبية على الرسم البياني للساعتين يشير إلى أن الانعكاس الصعودي
قد يتحقق اليوم. وقد يكون من الحكمة اليوم انتظار إشارات أكثر وضوحًا من
هذا الزوج.

تقرير العملات ونقاط الدعم والمقاومة

2011-03-29T16:21:00.000-07:00

اليورو/دولار

تداول زوج اليورو مقابل الدولار بإيجابية
يوم أمس وارتفع ليتداول الآن فوق المتوسط المتحرك 50. إلى جانب ذلك، نجد بأن السعر
استقر فوق مستوى 1.4080 الذي كان يمثل خط رقبة لنموذج فني هابط فرعي تم إبطال مفعوله.
بالمقابل، يظهر مؤشر ستوكاستيك إشارات تشبع في الشراء، وهذا ما قد يضع ضغطاً
سلبياً على السعر. من هنا،فإننا سنراقب التداولات القادمة خلال
اليوم بسبب التعارض بين العوامل الفنية التي لدينا.

مستويات التداول لهذا اليوم قد تكون بين
مستوى الدعم 1.3970 ومستوى المقاومة 1.4365

الاتجاه قصير الأمد المتوقع صاعد نحو
الأعلى بثبات الإغلاق اليومي فوق مستوى 1.2795، والأهداف عند 1.5135

الاسترليني

عادت تداولات زوج الجنيه الإسترليني
مقابل الدولار فوق مستوى تصحيح فيبوناتشي 38.2% الذي تم كسره يوم أمس، وهذا ما قد
يكون إشارات على محاولات الاكتفاء بهذا القدر من التصحيح الهابط ومن ثم محاولة
العودة إلى المسار الصاعد. من جهة أخرى، يشكل المتوسط المتحرك 50 مقاومة للتداولات
اللحظية، يدعمه العزم السلبي الذي يقدمه مؤشر ستوكاستيك. وبالتالي، فإننا نعتقد
بأن الفرص متساوية لتحقيق أي من الاتجاهين، وهذا ما يجعلنا نراقب
المستويات الحساسة والتي تتمثل بالدعم 1.5995 والمقاومة 1.6110.

مستويات التداول لهذا اليوم قد تكون بين
مستوى الدعم 1.5870 ومستوى المقاومة 1.6200

الاتجاه قصير الأمد المتوقع صاعد نحو
الأعلى بثبات الإغلاق اليومي فوق مستوى 1.5315 والأهداف عند 1.7000

الين

يحافظ زوج الدولار مقابل الين على
استقراره دون مستوى إعادة الاختبار 81.80 والذي يحميه المتوسط المتحرك 50 كما
نلاحظ في الصورة أعلاه. هذه العوامل إلى جانب التشبع في الشراء الذي يظهر على مؤشر
ستوكاستيك تجعلنا نتوقع اتجاهاً لحظياً هابطاً لهذا اليوم تبدأ أهدافه
الفنية عند 80.60 ثم 80.00، في حين يتطلب تحقيقه الثبات دون مستوى 82.55

مستويات التداول لهذا اليوم قد تكون بين
مستوى الدعم 80.00 ومستوى المقاومة 82.55

الاتجاه قصير الأمد هابط نحو الأسفل
بثبات مستوى 89.35 والأهداف تتمثل في 77.70

..

Usd/cad

استقرت تداولات زوج الدولار الأمريكي
مقابل الدولار الكندي دون مستوى مقاومة القناة الهابطة والتي تمكن المتوسط المتحرك
50 من حماية التداولات داخلها، إلى جانب إظهار مؤشر ستوكاستيك إشارة سلبية تشير
إلى أن مزيد من الاتجاه اللحظي الهابط متوقع لهذا اليوم. يظهر لدينا في الرسم
البياني مستوى دعم فرعي عند 0.9740، كسر هذا المستوى سيجعل مهمة الاتجاه الهابط
المتوقع أسهل، والأهداف التالية مستويات 0.9600. بالمقابل، نشير إلى أن اختراق
مستويات المقاومة ما بين 0.9800 – 0.9840 قد يؤجل سيناريو الهبوط المقترح.

مستويات التداول لهذا اليوم قد تكون بين
مستوى الدعم 0.9600 و مستوى المقاومة 0.9840

الاتجاه قصير الأمد المتوقع هابط نحو
الأسفل بثبات مستوى 1.0665 و الهدف عند مستوى 0.9000

الذهب

استطاع سعر الذهب تحقيق الهدف الأول و
الهدف الثاني للتركيبة التوافقية المتمثلان في تصحيح 38.2% و تصحيح 61.8% التابعان
للضلع CD. يبدو مؤشر MACD سلبياً، فيما مؤشر
ستوكاستيك يحاول إبداء تقاطع سلبي مجدداً و هذا ما قد يكون سبباً لأن نرى محاولة
جديدة لتحقيق كسر لمستوى 1409.00 الذي يمثل الهدف الثاني للتركيبة التوافقية
للاندفاع هبوطاً نحو الهدف الممتد الأول لها و المتمثل في تصحيح 76.4% عند سعر
1401.00. تجدر الإشارة إلى أن توقعات الاتجاه الهابط تتطلب الثبات تحت
1440.00 بإغلاق أربع ساعات، لكن نحن نفضّل الثبات تحت مستوى 1430.00 لتأكيدها، و
الأخير هو المقاومة التي نشأت حول مستوى قمّة النقطة X
للتركيبة التوافقية.

مستويات
التداول لهذا اليوم قد تكون بين مستوى الدعم 1392.00 و مستوى المقاومة 1455.00

الاتجاه قصير الأمد هابط نحو
الأسفل و الهدف عند مستوى 1208.00 بثبات مستوى 1485.00

النفط

تحقق الهدف الأول للتركيبة الفنية
التوافقية المتمثل في تصحيح 38.2% التابع للضلع CD عند
سعر 103.20. عند ذلك المستوى، تشكّلت شمعة المطرقة الصاعدة الموضحة في الصورة
الفرعية و هذه الشمعة قد تكون قادرة على دفع السعر لإعادة اختبار مستويات حول
104.30 و ربما يمتد الاتجاه الصاعد وصولاً إلى مستوى 104.80. لكن، نحن بدورنا ما
زلنا نعتقد بأن التركيبة التوافقية العامة ما زالت قائمة، و نموذج السلطعون
التوافقي الهابط ما زال مؤثراً و يبقى كذلك بثبات التداول ما دون مستوى 106.55.
لذلك، سوف نحتفظ في توقعاتنا السلبية بشكل عام دون إهمال احتمال التصحيح
الصاعد. مؤشر MACD يثبت أننا بدأنا بدخول السلبية، و الهدف الثاني المقترح هو تصحيح
61.8% التابع للضلع CD عند سعر 101.05
دولار.

مستويات التداول لهذا اليوم قد تكون بين
مستوى الدعم 101.05 و مستوى المقاومة 106.55

الاتجاه قصير الأمد المتوقع للسعر صاعد
نحو الأعلى بثبات الإغلاق اليومي فوق مستوى 98.00 والأهداف عند 113.35

التعليق التقني

دور صانع السوق فى انقاذ البورصه المصريه

2011-03-12T17:23:00.000-08:00

مع قرب موعد استئناف التداول بالبورصة ظهرت بعض الأصوات المنادية بضرورة تدخل صانع السوق لإنقاذ الموقف في سوق المال المصري وحمايته من أية هزات عنيفة عن طريق خلق قوة شرائية قادرة علي استيعاب التوجه البيعي المتوقع في الجلسات الأولي . يقول محسن عادل العضو المنتدب بشركة بايونيرز لصناديق الاستثمار إن التوقيت الحالي يستلزم إعادة صياغة العديد من الأدوات السوقية بما يعكس المستجدات التي طرأت علي الساحة وبما يؤكد علي قدرة السوق المصري علي استيعابها ويعد نظام صانع السوق بأشكاله المختلفة احد ابرز الأدوات المطلوبة خلال الفترة الحالية خاصة وأنه يؤدي إلي عدد من المزايا المتكاملة علي رأسها زيادة دور الشركات في دعم أسهمها متلافية بذلك فكرة الانفصال بين الملكية والإدارة ثانيا تلافي عيوب نظام شراء اسهم الخزينة الحالي والذي لا يؤدي بالضرورة إلي دعم السهم ثالثا وضع إدارة احترافية لعمليات التداول بما يخلق نطاقا سعريا قادرا علي استيعاب المتغيرات . وأضاف محسن أنه يجب النظر إلي الرؤية المصرية السائدة لدي المتعاملين وأن الأدوات المستخدمة في مثل هذا النظام يجب ان تكون من خلال صندوق استثماري وليس من خلال الشركات وهو ما اثبت الواقع العملي إمكانية استخدام بدائل له خاصة وأن الفترة الماضية شهدت خلالها عمليات ادارة حساب استقرار لسعر السهم عند الطروحات بما يماثل آليات صانع السوق ومنهجه . ومن جانبه أرجع د.عبدو عبدالهادي عضو مجلس إدارة شركة ليبون إضطراب حركة السوق والتضارب الذي أصبح سمة أساسية به إلي غياب دور صانع السوق وقال إن وجوده كان سيساعد علي إعادة هيكلة السوق والاستثمارات والشراء في الأوقات الراهنة ولكن فوجئ الجميع خلال الفترة الماضية بعدم إقبال المؤسسات علي الشراء . وأضاف د . عبدو إن صانع السوق يمثل العقل والإمكانيات المالية بالسوق ويؤدي إلي مزيد من الهدوء في القرارت ويلغي التوجه العاطفي الذي يسيطر علي قرارات المستثمرين تأثرا بالأحداث السياسية والاقتصادية، وطالب الهيئة العامة للرقابة المالية بضرورة تسهيل إجراءات الحصول علي التراخيص اللازمة لتأسيس صناديق الاستثمار حتي يمكن خلق قوة شرائية وطنية قادرة علي استيعاب القوة البيعية لصغار المستثمرين وعلي الجانب الآخر يري أحمد حلمي موسي مدير البحوث بشركة جلوبال كابيتال مصر أن دور صانع السوق خلال هذه الفترة لن يحقق الغرض الرئيسي منه خاصة وانه سيواجه قوي بيعية كبيرة قد تفوق احتماله مشيرا إلي أن صانع السوق وهو عبارة عن صناديق استثمار يسعي في المقام الأول إلي تحقيق الربح وليس الخسارة وتوقع حلمي أن تشهد اولي جلسات التداول بالبورصة اتجاها بيعيا من المستثمرين .

Gravestone

2010-08-14T07:33:00.000-07:00

gravestone

A candle stich chart patter specifically a doji pattern.
This pattern is formed when a security opens low, trades high through out the session ,...
but then returns toits low opening price ,...

Thx .. :)

ندوة إدارة المخاطره بين الفهم والتطبيق 1

2010-05-24T14:38:00.000-07:00

تعليم كيفية رسم خط الترند

2010-05-24T14:37:00.001-07:00

تعليم كيفية رسم خط الترند

2010-05-24T14:37:00.000-07:00

FOREX Training - Timing Your FOREX Trades Pt 3

2010-05-24T14:29:00.001-07:00

Timing Your FOREX Trades With Oscillators

2010-05-24T14:29:00.000-07:00

risk reward ration ادراة المخاطر فى المتاجره

2010-05-02T06:07:00.001-07:00

الجارية 1

2010-05-02T06:07:00.000-07:00

التحليل الفني

2010-05-02T06:06:00.000-07:00

اهم اسباب الفشل بالفوركس

2010-04-17T04:00:00.000-07:00

Barclays turns property developer to cut loss

2010-02-27T12:35:00.000-08:00

By Daniel Thomas and Ed Hammond

Published: February 26 2010 23:13 | Last updated: February 26 2010 23:13

Barclays is to move into housebuilding to minimise losses on a site where the developer defaulted on a loan.

The bank is to invest in the building of a new development of expensive homes in Chiswick, west London, on a site that had gone into administration, in a trial that is expected to be repeated with other loans.

The decision was made to avoid the forced sale of the site and a huge writedown on the value of its loan, and illustrates the more pro-active approach that bankers are having to take following a crash in the real estate market.

Barclays has appointed Jones Lang LaSalle to manage the development of the scheme, which will comprise 11 homes backing on to the Thames.

Graham Keable, of the business support property team at Barclays Corporate, said: “We had the choice between crystallising a substantial loss or building the scheme and mitigating the problem.

“If we had sold the site, it would have lost us up to half of the value of the loan.”

Although declining to give exact values, he said the bank’s exposure to the site would be increased by 130 per cent in order to complete the development work. The original borrower is still involved in the process, and could even achieve a profit if the sales reach a certain hurdle.

“This is not to generate profit – this is to mitigate losses. We would continue to roll this out as long as the underlying risk position was secure,” Mr Keable said.

John Slaughter, of the Homebuilders Federation, said: “It is the first time we have heard of a bank doing this as a way of bringing projects through in the current climate.”

All banks are having to deal with extensive problems in their property loan books.

Lloyds and Royal Bank of Scotland, which have the highest exposure to the sector, have created special solution teams to restructure loans.

It is more common for banks to manage assets in the commercial sector, where there are single large properties. Lloyds revealed on Friday that bad debts of £24bn were linked to poor investments made by HBOS, many in real estate

Banks are sitting on more than £200bn of UK real estate loans, including commercial and residential development, many of which will be either in breach or default of banking agreements after a sharp fall in the market since the peak of 2007

Barclays’ decision has been helped by evidence of continuing demand for prime London homes. Although the Nationwide index showed a slight decline for house prices in February, Knight Frank data showed prices for central London homes recording their strongest growth in a single month since the market peak in August 2007

The market rose 3.3 per cent in February, according to Knight Frank, taking prices up 19 per cent in total in the past 10 months.

Futures vs. Forex 2

2010-02-08T16:43:00.000-08:00

Tighter spreads than Futures and Commission free trading…

This is true but you are not paying less. Watch the video “Futures vs. Forex – Spreads” and you will see exactly what I mean. To put it bluntly…the spreads are HIGHER in the Forex market and this more than goes over any commissions you pay to a broker.

Earnings are not reported to the IRS…

I’m not an accountant. I can tell you that if you try and hide money you will probably get caught. The Forex is designated to be a foreign investment. However, if you are a US citizen and you live in the USA, you will probably be subject to taxation on these profits.

Just an FYI…

This last year (2007) I got a statement in the mail from my Futures broker Open E Cry. None of my Forex brokers sent me a statement. After talking to them and to my accountant I was sure that I had to claim those profits as income. If I didn’t do it I would have been considered a tax evader.

24 hour market…

This is true for both spot 4X and currency futures. They are open for trading in the US Sunday evening @ 16:00 EST and close Friday afternoon @ 16:00. The brokers usually refer to the stock market’s hours of Monday through Friday, 9:30 – 14:30 EST and group futures along with that. The big Dow, S&P, NASDQ and other major indicies that are traded in the pit are open during these hours only. As for currencies, the times for spot 4X and Futures are the same.

Free data feed, charts and easier technical analysis than Futures…

All of this is not true. I don’t mean that the charting and data is not free. I mean that there are many futures brokers that offer free charting and data feeds as well. Let’s tackle this one by one…

Data Feed…

Most reputable futures brokers get compensated from the commission only. They have no motivation to skew the data or manipulate price in any way. They make money whether you do or not. That is the way a true broker works. The price you get is what they get directly from the exchanges. There are no ifs, ands or buts about it. It is a true market without an interrupting force.

Since most spot 4X brokers are market makers there is a great deal of price manipulation that can take place. They make money from the spread and they also profit from what you loose. A market maker gets the data from the exchanges and banks just like futures brokers do. However, since they are not regulated the same as futures brokers are, they have much more room to do what they like to the price they give you. Brokers with fixed spreads have it set so you will see a minimum spread of say 3 on the GBPUSD when their quotes give them .5. This gives them what I consider an unfair advantage over the retail trader. Also, during news times this goes absolutely insane. Just pull up a few broker platforms during a news report and you will see exactly what I mean. Their prices are different and vary enough to cause great suspicion. For more info on how a market maker works read my document on brokers.

Charts and Technical Analysis…
This is a flat out lie. If anything charting from futures brokers are more true to the real market price than from a 4X market maker. Since there is no motivation to manipulate the price on the futures side, the price shown in the charts is a true life quote and not what your 4X market maker wants you to see.

Technical analysis is the exact same. Fibonacci, Gann, ABCD patterns, trend lines, pivots and any technical indicator out there are all the same in ANY market you trade. The only thing that is different in certain situations is volume which can give futures traders a HUGE advantage in that market.

Some market makers will say that trading the futures vs. spot is different. Really? Then tell me which one of the below charts is the GBP Future and which one is the GBPUSD…

.

As you can clearly see they are nearly identical.

.

Next let’s look at the USDJPY vs. the JPY future…

Ah ha! We’ve finally got a difference…or do we? What you have here is a nearly exact mirror image of each other. When the USDJPY goes up the JPY Future goes down. The difference in the two is that the JPY future increases when the value of the Yen increases. In the USDJPY, since the JPY is the secondary currency, when the Yen increases in value the USDJPY price will decrease. Same principle but the charts are backwards. It’s not a problem…it’s just a little different.

Well that’s about it for the Futures vs. Forex debate. I hope this little bit of information has helped and educated you as to the real differences in the two markets
.
Good fortune to you!

كاتب المقال : Elbert Wade Box, Jr.

Futures vs. Forex

2010-02-08T16:28:00.000-08:00

Before you begin reading this let me first say that my intention is not to bash 4X market makers. My intention is to educate you on what you will be getting into if you decide to trade the spot 4X market with a 4X market maker vs. a regulated Futures broker. There is a HUGE difference in the two brokers and it could make or break you as a trader. Be careful in your decisions…

When I began learning how to trade the 4X in 2004 I thought that I had found an answer to all my problems. After all, I was hurt with at serious back injury and needed something I could do from home that wasn’t a scam. The 4X was an ideal solution to my problem…or at least that’s what the brokers wanted me to think…

To be honest, the Forex brokers have the best marketing of anything I have ever seen. You’ve seen it…

Massive liquidity compared to Futures
Higher leverage than Futures
Guaranteed no debit balance
Trade with any $$$ amount
Tighter spreads than Futures and Commission free trading
Earnings are not reported to the IRS
24 hour market
Free data feed, charts and easier technical analysis than Futures

The list goes on for the 4X marketing and I’m sure you’ve seen it all. I bought into it and began learning everything I could about the 4X without giving any other type of trading apparatus a 2nd glance. That was a mistake.

In this document I will spell out exactly what the Forex brokers, specifically the market makers, are not telling you and give the much sought after “TRUTH” about the 4X vs. Futures debate.

First off let me say that I still trade the 4X along side the futures market. The only currency pairs I trade in the spot 4X are the GBPJPY and the EURJPY. All other currencies are traded via the futures market. The main reasons for this is that the manipulation I have experienced with market makers and even some 4X brokers who claim to be ECNs is ridiculous. Since the GBPJPY and the EURJPY are extremely volatile I find that trading these 2 pairs alone in the spot 4X market is worth the risk. But every other currency pair I look at is usually based out of the Futures exchange.

Let’s start hitting these points one by one…

The 4X market has a massive amount of liquidity compared to the Futures market.

This one is true. I’ve seen it estimated that the 4X has a volume of anywhere form $1.5 to over $5 trillion daily. This is anywhere from 30-50 times larger than the US Stock Market. This is one advantage that the 4X does have over the Futures market and it is undeniable. But how much is this actually worth to you and me? Honesty, the largest amount I’ve ever traded per pip / tick is around $250. And that was a one time deal. Most traders that I know trade from 1 – 10 lots / contracts per trade. That’s not a large volume. If you have enough money in your account to trade more than that you either have enough money where you don’t need to trade for a living and you are a speculator or you are over leveraging yourself and are playing on dangerous ground.

The 4X market offers higher leverage than Futures
There is some truth to this but it works to the trades disadvantage rather than their advantage. I’ve seen 4X market makers offer up to 500:1 leverage. Let’s put this into perspective…

On US based currency pairs such as the USDJPY, at 100:1 leverage you can trade 1 standard contract for @ $1000 US in your account. Move this to 500:1 and you only need $200 to trade 1 standard contract. That seems great...to the novice trader who is looking for a quick way to make money.

In all honesty, this is how most market makers make money. Since they don’t push the orders through to the banks and take the other side of the trades themselves, they keep all the losses that the traders incur. So unless you are extremely sure of where price is going, using this amount of leverage is riskier than rolling dice at a casino. Right now, 1 contract of the USDJPY is worth @ $8.90. With a spread of 2 (which is what most brokers offer on the USDJPY) you have @ 20 pips of movement until your account is wiped out. At least at 100:1 you have at least 100 or more until this happens. I’ve seen no reputable broker that offers more than 200:1 in the spot 4X market.

Let’s contest this with Futures…

Futures brokers have a required amount per contract that fluctuates from daily rates to overnight rates which is roughly double the daily margin. In the above example, I spoke of the USDJPY. The futures equivalent is the JPY future, which is a near exact mirror image of the USDJPY.

The day trading margin is for trading during the US session, which is from @ 9:30 – 16:00 EST. The daily amount required to trade 1 JPY future contract on my futures broker, Open E Cry, is $1350 / contract. Also a contract is worth $10 and not $8.90. So you can see that the leverage is @ 80:1 and daily and drops to @ 40:1 for holding positions overnight. In the other documents in this package I suggest trading with Oanda and MB Trading. Oanda offers a max leverage of 50:1 and MB Trading offers 100:1. So you can see that for me, there is not a big difference in the 2 as far as leverage and margin are concerned.

And again, this is MAX leverage available. My rule is to use no more than @ 20:1 and usually 10:1 leverage on any trade. This is not really that big of a deal in terms of the 4X being better than the futures market.

Also, this is just on the currencies. Most futures brokers offer a $500 daily margin for the eminis. This is @ 200:1 leverage if calculated on a per contract basis and my CTS system works extremely well on the eminis, even when using high leverage. This is an advantage the futures market has over the 4x that I am taking advantage of…but I’ll get into that later.

Just an FYI for you…

Here is a link to my broker’s page on margins and offered contracts…

http://atcbrokers.com/futures_resources_margin.htm
Guaranteed no debit balance…

This is true for the most part. In trading futures you do have risk of loosing more in your account than you have. All of the 4X market makers I have seen guarantee that you cannot loose more than you have in your account.

Trade with any $$$ amount…

This is also true. In the 4X market you can trade mini and micro accounts. With Oanda you can trade pennies / pip if you like. In the futures market, the smallest account you can have is @ $2000. This allows you to trade with a $500 intraday margin. This is usually opened by people who want to try and trade the eminis

Technical Analysis - Chart Formations books

2010-01-25T18:13:00.000-08:00

Technical Analysis - Chart Formations

It is important to note that the Technical Analysis Overview provided does not attempt to be a comprehensive treatment of Charting or Technical Analysis methods. There are numerous, well-written books on Chart Interpretation and Technical Analysis.

CHART PATTERNS

multiple of chart patterns and their meaning and indication bullish signal patterns and bearish signal patterns explained in a simple way using illustrated examples .

THE LAW OF CHARTS

a book talks about charting candlesticks patterns and formations ...how to trade by just analysing the magical candlesticks patterns using no indicators no moving average no pivot point.

Simplified Technical Analysis

Great Graphical Guide for Forex Trading Beginners…What are trend lines and how to draw them, Support lines, Resistance lines, What to look for / Breakout’s, Chart Patterns, Moving Averages, Indicator, MACD Indicator, Stochastic…

Traders Habits book

2010-01-25T18:10:00.000-08:00

7 HABITS TRADER

what distinguishes succesful trader. what about his lifestyle ,trading tactics,strategies ,mindset .the books talks in general .this is essential book for every forex trader.

Pivot Calcaulator

2010-01-25T18:06:00.000-08:00

Pivot Calcaulator

For an easy way to calculate the pivot ponit , support and resistance

.click Here to download

Forex books for beginners

2010-01-25T17:51:00.000-08:00

Forex books for beginners !!

The right way to be so professional trader is to read about FOREX, FOREX strategies,FOREX analysis......etc.,Here you will find all books that will help you to be a real trader.

GLOSSARY OF FOREX TERMS

if you are new to forex this book is certainly recommended for you ....find all about forex terms and expressions .

Your Guide To Trading Forex
A complete guide for forex beginners,it explains in detail every thing you need it to begin trading in forex.

RoyalForex

This is a good book talks in detail about every thing you need to understand in forex .

THE PHILOSOPHICAL CONCEPT BEHIND STOCHASTIC OSCILLATOR

2009-12-08T16:06:00.000-08:00

Stochastic Oscillator is a common leading technical indicator created by George Lane in the 1950´s. After more than 50 years from its foundation; this technical indicator had taken a place in the hall of fame of the Forex Technical Indicators. Here we present how to interpret it in an easy way and the philosophical concept behind this indicator.

The mathematical expression for this indicator is:
Closing Price – Lowest price
Stochastic Oscillator = -------------------------------------- * 100
Higher Price – Lowest price

The result of this equation is a positive percentage between 0 and 100. If the closing price rises "too much" above the lowest price then the price is supposed to fall in the next period. If the closing price falls "too much" below the lowest price it is supposed to rise in the next period. You should ask about how to determine the "too much" level, some traders use the 20% and 80% as the minimum and the maximum levels. If the indicator is above 80% we say that the market is overbought and we should take a short position, if the indicator is below 20% we say that the market is oversold and we should take a long position. The MetaTrader 4 trading platform will show you this graphic and you could change these minimum and maximum levels.

Stochastic means that something depends of a determined probability, Forex Prices are Random Variables. This is the philosophical concept integrated in this mathematical indicator, as Karl Popper said "There are no false or true statements, there are less or more probably stochastic events". We are not absolutely sure that if the stochastic indicator is above 80% the price will fall in the next period, but we know that is more probably that the price will fall in the next period. Remember that the next period in the mt4 platform could be a minute or a day or whatever you want.

What we want to show is that you should study and practice before beginning to invest in Forex.

METATRADER 5 - CHANGES & UPDATES

2009-12-08T16:04:00.000-08:00

In the world of Forex, say the word "MetaTrader", and anyone who has been trading for any length of time immediately knows exactly what you're talking about. Over the past few years, MetaTrader 4 has become one of the world's most popular Forex trading platforms, and for good reason. The sort of features one looks for in any piece of software exists in this program: flexibility, ease of use, and the ability to upgrade. With the ability to include charting, news, alerts, as well as a host of indicators and automated strategies, MetaTrader 4 is now supported by numerous brokers around the world. While the back end support and technology varies, the software is very much the same. The main benefit, however, is the online community dedicated to support, technology, and added features where one can find answers to any and all questions. MetaTrader 5, with its updated features, is the natural next step for this trading software.

In recent years, many traders have begun to utilize the ability to customize or program automated trading strategies in MetaTrader. As trade execution, technology, and trader expertise has increased, this option has begun to appeal to many, as it helps ensure the fundamentals of a given strategy are executed without the influence of emotion. The expedite this process, MetaTrader 5 incorporates a fundamental change in the programming language to ensure more efficient operation, and increased speed in script execution. For those developing Expert Advisors, the all-new Intellisense system offers traders and programmers the ability to incorporate pre-written strings of code to speed the process, as well as a feature to automatically de-bug faulty entries. Additionally, an updated and enhanced strategy tester is included for EA development.

In addition to the major changes in code, MetaTrader 5 also contains some other minor enhancement which make for a more complete trading experience. The program now includes additional indicators, with increased customization options, but more importantly for those focused on the charts, the timeframe settings have been expanded for improved analysis.

With all of these changes, MetaTrader 5 improves on the already excellent MetaTrader 4 platform, but takes all of the features traders want, and expands and improves them on all fronts. As always, Tradeview Forex will continue to offer industry leading support and technology to ensure our clients the best trading experience with the newest technology. Stay tuned for the MetaTrader 5 official release date.

AGGREGATED VALUE, KEYNES AND CURRENCY TRADING

2009-12-08T16:01:00.000-08:00

One of the most popular critiques to Forex Trading, used by Economists from many countries across the world, is based on this question: Is Forex economic wealth?

The economic argument that supports this critique is that Forex trading is a Zero sum game, so there is not aggregated value in this market. Economists quantify the Gross Domestic Product (GDP), as the total sum of the aggregated value of one year in a specific country. For instance if a shoemaker buy leather for 10 Dollars and produce shoes for 50 Dollars, the aggregated value in this case is 40 Dollars.

The absence of aggregated value argument used by Anti-Forex Economists has one problem: Even if Forex Trading is a Zero sum game, it is not the only aspect to be considered in a business evaluation. We will use Keynes theory to reject this Anti-Forex argument.

John Maynard Keynes wrote in 1935 one of the most famous books in the history of Economic Theory: The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money. In this book Keynes uses this argument "Money is an asset with special functions in the economic system. Specifically, the Financial Markets supply funds from over liquid sectors to those with lack of money for investment. Even if there is a gap between real and financial transactions, Financial Markets are an essential part of any Economic structure in the world"

Keynes presents an important function of Financial Markets, he clearly recognizes the gap between real and financial transactions and the potential absence of aggregated value, but he strongly believed in the necessity of powerful financial markets to transfer money from sectors with surplus to sectors with deficits of money.

Currency Trading markets are a potential opportunity to invest your money and work hard to obtain positive results; obviously there are winners and losers, just like any other business in the world, but Forex as a Financial Market has that favorable characteristic described by Keynes. Unfortunately this argument is not considered by Anti-Forex economists and they present a biased perspective of the problem.

The zero sum argument is not the only one aspect to be considered in a business evaluation. Forex could be Economic Wealth, it depends on you!

EXPERT ADVISORS THENDS AND METATRADER 5

2009-12-08T15:59:00.000-08:00

Forex trading is becoming more and more popular every day and this financial market changes to adapt new trends in customers. Recently, Forex traders had begun to use automated trading techniques according to their experience and preferences.

An automated trading technique or "Experts Advisor" is the use of programming language to create trading orders with the computer algorithm deciding the determinants of the order such as the timing, price and quantity. Expert Advisors (EA) could be programmed to initiate or finish the order without human intervention, so it will continue working for you even if you are sleeping! An EA will be programmed according to the Forex Trading indicators, so commonly it is used by traders with certain level of experience, but it is not too hard to learn how it works by operating it.

According to an article presented by the Wall Street Journal Europe on April 18, 2007: "In 2006 at the London Stock Exchange, over 40% of all orders were entered by algorithmic traders, with 60% predicted for 2007. American markets and equity markets generally have a higher proportion of algorithmic trades than other markets, estimating an increase in 2008 as high as an 80% proportion in some markets. Foreign exchange markets also have active algorithmic trading transactions, about 25% of the orders in 2006"

The MetaTrader 5 is the new version of the famous MetaTrader 4 trading platform, the main characteristics of this new software are: 5 order types and 4 execution modes available for trading, reports on all trading activities, indicators and graphical objects, quicker analysis of quotes and trade decision making, 3 chart-types, 21 timeframes, more than 70 analytical tools and the best of all: MetaTrader 5 is specially created to simplify the creation of Expert Advisors, in other words this new software takes all the desirable properties of the MetaTrader 4 and improves the Expert Advisors techniques.

MetaTrader 5 will be available soon, as the previous trading mt4 Forex software it will be free to Forex Traders, just keep in mind this new software and wait some time to use efficiently Expert Advisors techniques!

What makes a good Trading Strategy?

2009-12-07T17:25:00.000-08:00

Ask most NEW traders, and they will tell you about some moving average or combination of indicators or a chart pattern that they use. This is, as the more experienced trader knows, an entry point and not a strategy.
Any trader who is more experienced will say a strategy should also include money management, risk control, perhaps stop losses and of course, an exit point. They might also say that you must let your profits run and cut your losses short. A well-read trader will also tell you that your strategy should fit with your trading personality.
BUT there is one other vital ingredient that many traders forget - and that is to fully understand the "personality" of what you trade. Some traders specialise in say, gold or Brent crude or currencies or they might specialise in a particular index such as the FTSE 100 or the Dow but many traders choose to trade shares. Indeed some traders dabble in a bit of everything. I think this is the area that causes many traders to fail or at least not reach their full potential.
In my view: You absolutely MUST specialise.
I am sure that on the surface most people would say that sounds sensible but here is why it is a MUST!
Superficially, many charts look the same. I bet if you had not seen the charts for some time and someone where to show you a chart of Brent Crude over 6 months and then a chart of Barclays PLC over the same 6 months you would be hard pushed to say which was which purely on the look of the chart.
However, I bet that if you found a trader who trades ONLY Barclays day in and day out and also found someone who trades ONLY Brent Crude day in and day out, both of them would easily identify which was which. WHY?
Because every share, index or commodity has it’s own "personality".
Some will be volatile intra-day, some will follow their sector or the main index (market followers), some will do their own thing, some will spike up and down regularly, some will stop at key moving averages and some will just plough through. Some will move by 5% on average before they retrace and some by 2%. Some will gap up or down regularly, some will not. You get the idea!
Therefore, no matter how good you are at analysing indicators, moving averages, trends and patterns, the same strategy WILL NOT work for everything. I would go so far as to say that a strategy that works well for Bovis Homes, for example, is likely NOT to work for BT Group - they have very different "personalities".
So let’s return to our question: What makes a good trading strategy? Let me answer with a series of ten questions that you need to find answers to, in order to build a REALLY GOOD strategy.
What do you want to trade (share, index, commodity, currency, etc)? If your answer is shares (plural) I would urge you to pick one typical share at this stage to really specialise. You can add more later.
What "personality" does that share, index etc have?
What entry system is the most reliable for that share?
What stop loss system is the most effective for that share?
What average risk will a typical trade carry?
What exit system works well for that share?
What is your trading personality (attitude to risk, losses, discipline, how much do you worry etc) and can you trade that strategy without overriding it?
What timescale do you want to trade? (Using intra-day or end of day data)
How much data do you keep on past trades to help identify strategy weaknesses?
How does all this fit with your trading objectives?
Once you have an answer to each question you need to do one final thing. Make sure all those things fit together and complement each other. For example, if the ideal stop loss position represents a big average risk and conflicts with your own attitude to risk, you need to start again. If you will override your exit point because greed makes you hang in for more, you need to think again. Perhaps you shouldn’t trade that stock in the first place - look for one with a different "personality" which will lead to a strategy you can trade comfortably.
It is a long and sometimes painful iterative journey. You might need to go round and round in ever decreasing circles over a long time. Testing and refining, testing and refining before you can truly have a reliable and repeatable strategy that REALLY WORKS for you.
THEN, you can look for other things to trade that have the same "personality" as your specialist stock, index, commodity or currency.
But if it were easy, everyone would be doing it right?
Good luck and enjoy your trading.

what is forex ?

2009-12-07T17:23:00.000-08:00

Forex is short for foreign exchange. When one speaks of a forex profit or loss, he is talking about the increased or decreased value of an investment caused solely by currency movements.For example, if an investor thought that the dollar was weak, he might purchase German money markets. The investor's account might earn 3% annualized, but the real profit or loss could be in how the DM (German mark) moves against the US$ (United States dollar.What is FOREX?FOREX (FOReign EXchange market) is an international foreign exchange market, where money is sold and bought freely. In its present condition FOREX was launched in the 1970s, when free exchange rates were introduced, and only the participants of the market determine the price of one currency against the other proceeding from supply and demand.As far as the freedom from any external control and free competition are concerned, FOREX is a perfect market. It is also the biggest liquid financial market. According to various assessments, money masses in the market constitute from 1 to 1.5 trillion US dollars a day.(It is impossible to determine an absolutely exact number because trading is not centralized on an exchange.) Transactions are conducted all over the world via telecommunications 24 hours a day from 00:00 GMT on Monday to 10:00 pm GMT on Friday. Practically in every time zone (that is, in Frankfurt-on-Main, London, New York, Tokyo, Hong Kong, etc.) there are dealers who will quote currencies.FOREX is a more objective market, because if some of its participants would like to change prices, for some manipulative purpose, they would have to operate with tens of billions dollars. That is why any influence by a single participants in the market is practically out of the question.The superior liquidity allows the traders to open and/or close positions within a few seconds. The time of keeping a position is arbitrary and has no limits: from several seconds to many years. It depends only on your trading strategies.Although the daily fluctuations of currencies are rather insignificant, you may use the credit lines, that are accessible even to currency speculators with small capitals ($ 1,000 - 5,000), where the profit may be impressive.(You can learn more about it in the section: The main principles of trading.)The idea of marginal trading stems from the fact that in FOREX speculative interests can be satisfied without a real money supply.This decreases overhead expenses for transferring money and gives an opportunity to open positions with a small account in US dollars, buying and selling a lot of other currencies. That is, on can conduct transactions very quickly, getting a big profit, when the exchange rates go up or down. Many speculative transactions in the international financial markets are made on the principles of marginal trading.Margin trading is trading with a borrowed capital. Marginal trading in an exchange market uses lots. 1 lot equals approximately $100,000, but to open it it is necessary to have only from 0.5% to 4% of the sum.For example, you have analyzed the situation in the market and come to the conclusion that the pound will go up against the dollar. You open 1 lot for buying the pound (GBP) with the margin 1% (1:1000 leverage) at the price of 1.49889 and wait for the exchange rate to go up. Some time later your expectations become true.You close the position at 1.5050 and earn 61 pips (about $ 405). For the calculation of 1 pip click here.Everyday fluctuations of currencies constitute about 100 to 150 pips, giving FX traders an opportunity to make money on these changes.In FOREX, it's not obligatory to buy some currency first in order to sell it later. It's possible to open positions for buying and selling any currency without actually having it. Usually Internet-brokers establish the minimum deposit such as $ 2000, for working in the FOREX market, and grant a leverage of 1:100. That is, opening the position at $100,000, a trader invests $1,000 and receives $99.000 as a credit. The major currencies traded in FOREX, are Euro (EUR), Japanese yen (JPY), British Pound (GBP), and Swiss Franc (CHF).All of them are traded against the US dollar (USD).In order to assess the situation in the market a trader has to be able to use fundamental and/or technical analysis, as well as to make decisions in the constantly changing current of information about political and economic character. Most small and medium players in financial markets use technical analysis. Technical analysis presupposes that all the information about the market and its further fluctuations is contained in the price chain.Any factor, that has some influence on the price, be it economic, political or psychological, has already been considered by the market and included in the price. The initial data for a technical analysis are prices: the highest and the lowest prices, the price of opening and closing within a certain period of time, and the volume of transactions.A technical analysis is founded on three suppositions:Movement of the market considers everything;Movement of prices is purposeful;History repeats itself.That is, technical analysis is a statistical and mathematical analysis of previous quotes and a prognosis of coming prices.A number of technical indicators have been installed into the PRO-CHARTS trading system. Analyzing the indicators one can come to the conclusion about further movements of the quoted currencies. For a more detailed description of the indicators, analyzing price charts and volumes of trading, click here.Fundamental analysis is an analysis of current situations in the country of the currency, such as its economy, political events, and rumors. The country's economy depends on the rate of inflation and unemployment, on the interest rate of its Central Bank, and on tax policy.Political stability also influences the exchange rate. Policy of the Central Bank has a special role, as concentrated interventions or refusal from them greatly influence the exchange rate.At the same time one should not consider fundamental analysis just as an analysis of the economic situation in the country itself. A far bigger role in the FOREX market belongs to the expectations of the market participants and their assessment of these expectations.Various prognoses and bulletins, issued by the participants, have a strong influence on the expectations.Very often an effect of the so-called self-filfilling prophecy occurs when market players raise or lower the exchange rates according to the prognosis. But a deep and thorough fundamental analysis is available only for big banks with a staff of professional analysts and constant access to a wide field of information.In spite of these different approaches, both forms of analyses complement one another. Traders who act on the basis of a fundamental analysis, have to consider some technical characteristics of the market (the main rates of support, such as resistance and resale), and supporters of the technical approach to the market must track the main news (interest rates, important political events).The main merits of the FOREX market are:The biggest number of participants and the largest volumes of transactions;Superior liquidity and speed of the market: transactions are conducted within a few seconds according to online quotes;The market works 24 hours a day, every working days;A trader can open a position for any period of time he wants;No fees, except for the difference between buying and selling prices;An opportunity to get a bigger profit that the invested sum;Qualified work in the FOREX market can become your main professional activity;You can make deals any time you like.

Forex The Future Investment

2009-12-07T17:21:00.001-08:00

There are many many advantages over the various other ways of investing. First of all it is a 24 hr market, except for weekends of course.You have the US market then the european and then the Asian. One of the great times to trade is during the over lapping periods.The USA and european overlap between 5am & 9am eastern and the Euro & Asian between 11pm & 1am eastern. Usually the busiest time and best to trade.The is also the risk factor for the accounts. With futures and options you can get margin calls that can wipe you out. If you get caught in a bad trade not only do you lose the money in the account but you may have to come up with alot more from your pocket. It can be very risking. But not in Forex.Worst case senerio you could lose whats in you account. But you would have to do something really stupid. Like making a big trade on a Fundamental day and leave it alone. If market takes a bad move and you weren't there. OOOPS. But That wouldn't happen with a smarth trader.That is also the risk factor for the accounts. With futures and options you can get margin calls that can wipe you out. If you get caught in a bad trade not only do you lose the money in the account but you may have to come up with alot more from your pocket. It can be very risking. But not in Forex. Worst case senerio you could lose whats in you account. But you would have to do something really stupid. Like making a big trade on a Fundamental day and leave it alone. If market takes a bad move and you weren't there. OOOPS. But That wouldn't happen with a smarth trader.Then there are the demo accounts which is an account where you can trade using all the right things, platform,charts,and information. But you are using play money, or what we call paper trading too.Plus with Forex you have a mini account. Instead of needing thousands of dollars to get into it. You can open an account with as little as $300.00. Now of course you will be trading at 1 tenth of a trade. IN other words you controling 10,000 instead of 100,000.00 These are call lots. Which also means you will only risk 1 tenth too!So if you would love to learn to do investing and not have near the risk you really need to take a closer look at Forex trading.

Introduction To Forex Trading

2009-12-07T17:19:00.000-08:00

There are many markets: markets for stocks, futures, options and currencies. These are probably the most accessible markets for everyday traders like you and I.People easily understand the basics of trading shares, so I will occasionally use examples from that market.If you do not know a lot about currency trading, allow me to introduce it to you. It is what I trade and I believe that it is one of the best markets to trade because of its efficiency. The transaction costs to execute a trade are minimal and most brokers provide you with the tools and data you need to make your trading decisions, they usually provide them for free. The market is open 24 hours a day which allows you to design your trading hours around your daily commitments. It is very volatile, which is great for those people who are looking for day-trading opportunities.People easily understand the basics of trading shares, so I will occasionally use examples from that market.If you do not know a lot about currency trading, allow me to introduce it to you. It is what I trade and I believe that it is one of the best markets to trade because of its efficiency. The transaction costs to execute a trade are minimal and most brokers provide you with the tools and data you need to make your trading decisions, they usually provide them for free. The market is open 24 hours a day which allows you to design your trading hours around your daily commitments. It is very volatile, which is great for those people who are looking for day-trading opportunities.It is the most perfect market that exists because it has a large number of buyers and sellers all selling the same products. There is a free flow of information and there are little barriers to participate.The currency exchange market is an over-the-counter (OTC) market which means that there is not one specific location where buyers and sellers can actually meet to exchange currencies. Instead, transactions are conducted by phone, fax, e-mail or through the websites of brokers who specialize in currency trading.The major dealing centres at the time of writing are: London , with about 30% of the market, New York , with 20%, Tokyo , with 12%, Zurich , Frankfurt, Hong Kong and Singapore , with about 7% each, followed by Paris and Sydney with 3% each. Because of the fact that these centres are all over the world, foreign exchange traders can execute transactions 24 hours a day. The market only closes on the weekends.THE MAIN ‘PLAYERS' IN THE FOREX MARKETThe five broad categories of participants are: consumers, businesses, investors, speculators, commercial banks, investment banks and central banks.Consumers, including visitors of countries, tourists and immigrants, do need to exchange currencies when they travel so that they can buy local goods and services. These participants do not have the power to set prices. They just buy and sell according to the prevailing exchange rate. They make up a significant proportion of the volume being traded in the market.Businesses that import and export goods and services need to exchange currencies to receive or make payments for goods they may have bought or services they may have rendered.Investors and speculators require currencies to buy and sell investment instruments such as shares, bonds, bank deposits or real estate.Large commercial and investment banks are the ‘price makers'. They are the ones who buy and sell currencies at the bid-and-offer exchange rates that they declare through their foreign exchange dealers.Commercial banks deal with customers on one hand, and with the Interbank or other banks, on the other hand. They profit by utilizing the bid-and-offer spread. The bid price is the exchange rate that the buyer is willing to buy and the offer price is the exchange rate at which the seller is willing to sell. The difference is called the bid-offer spread. They also make profits from speculating about whether the exchange rate will rise or fall.Central banks participate in the foreign exchange market in their effective duty as banks for their particular government. They trade currencies not for the intention of making profits but rather to facilitate government monetary policies and to help smoothen out the fluctuation of the value of their economy's currency.WHAT CURRENCIES TO TRADE IN THE FOREX MARKETYou can trade any country's currency by exchanging it to another country's currency, however the list below are the ones that are the most popular and are usually made available by most online brokers for you to trade.

Forex Trading Guide

2009-12-07T17:18:00.001-08:00

Like many people I am sure you are interested to know more about Forex trading. To put it bluntly Forex trading can be either one the best ways to make or lose LOTS of money. Only those who take the Forex market seriously will be able to make money with it in the long term.The Forex trading market is beyond a doubt the world’s largest market where all exchanges happen instantaneously. Thus, trades are a key challenge for even the most knowledgeable Forex bankers and traders. They have to learn and consider many factors before performing even a single trade.At first when currencies began to be traded openly, only large banks were allowed to perform trades. These days, due to the advent of internet trading and margin accounts almost anybody can begin Forex trading. This in turn, has added to the liquidity of the Forex market, and has resulted in a huge increase in the number of individuals who are now active in the market.So, does this mean it is easy to earn money through Forex trading? To answer this we must consider a few things.Some data by Forex brokers seems to suggest that 90 percent of traders end up of losing their capital, 5 percent of traders have been able to break even and only 5 percent of them attain steady beneficial results. Thus, it seems that trading successfully is no simple task.However, if you can learn to be among the 5 percent who make consistent money you can do extremely well by using Forex trading. To help you in this end I have listed five key ways to improve your odds dramatically of making money in the Forex market.1. EducationSuccessful traders are knowledgeable about the Forex market. They have chosen to educate themselves about every single vital detail of Forex trading. The best traders know that every trade that they perform is an opportunity to learn something new.2. Forex Trading SystemAll of the profitable traders have a Forex trading system or strategy. Furthermore, they have the will power to stick strictly to that system, because the best traders know that by sticking with their system they stand a far greater chance of earning money.3. Price BehaviorKnowledgeable and successful traders also include price behavior in their systems. They have learned that prices can change quickly and suddenly but are prepared to deal with those situations when they arrive.4. Trading PsychologyFirst-rate traders are aware of psychological issues that affect the choices of other traders make when Forex trading. They know that people do not always act rationally, and as a result this can alter the expected outcome of a trade. This can help them both when deciding to enter into a trade or when to exit.5. Money ManagementThis is far and away the most important factor that will determine whether or not you become a successful trader. Averting the hazard of financial ruin is the main concern of all top traders. This means both adequately funding your trading account (only with money you can afford to live without of course) and never entering into trades that can potentially wipe out all of your assets. Better to start trading small and always use stop-loss orders to guarantee that your first trades are not also your last.This is by no means an exhaustive list of everything you need to know but it outlines some of the areas you need to consider before making even that first trade. Now you know that it is not easy to earn money in the Forex market, however it is achievable.However, success does not happen overnight and anyone promising you that it can is trying to sell you snake oil. It is an ongoing processes not something you pick up in a weekend. Trading success depends on the trader, and how hard you are willing to work to achieve your Forex trading goals.Also, remember to try to have some fun. The clearest sign that Forex trading is not for you is if you find the prospect of learning about how the Forex market works boring or dull. If this is the case you won’t stick with it long enough to make money and you will be among the 90 percent who fail. Just remember these three important things: be disciplined in your trading habits, manager your money wisely and enjoy the experience of Forex trading.

Forex Broker

2009-12-07T17:17:00.001-08:00

To trade on the forex market, the largest financial market on the planet, one must use a forex broker. Not unlike a stock broker, a forex broker can also makes suggestions about which moves to make when exchanging foreign currency. Some forex brokers even supply technical analysis to some of their clients and offer tips on research to improve their success as forex traders.
Typically in the forex market a forex broker is a banking institution who may buy up large amounts of a certain currency. For years, banks were the only ones who had access to the forex markets. But today with the Internet, any forex trader, who subscribes with a forex broker, can access the market 24 hours a day.
Today, as with stock brokers, the brick and mortar institutions, such as banks, are less of an option for the individual forex trader who works from home, monitoring the news and gaining insight into certain technical information to help with his or her trading decisions.
Forex brokers are going to give you all types of information and advice about where you can invest and how you can invest with foreign companies. Forex systems are not available through all types of commercial investing companies but you can find a few Forex brokers in most all areas of the world. Forex brokers are found in large commercial investing firms, in most larger banks, and now with the help of the internet you can find many Forex brokers online. Use a Forex broker if you want to learn more about how to invest, where to invest, and how much money you need to invest in a Forex system right now.
Forex brokers are going to tell you what the minimums are. In some cases, you can invest as little as five dollars to open a Forex trading account. In some areas, and for some investment companies you must invest a minimum of $200 or even $500. It is important to remember that every investment firm is different, and will have set minimums for their business to take place.

A Forex broker should be a person you can trust, understand, and that you feel is honest with you. A Forex broker is one that you should not receive phone calls from, urging you to put large amounts of money into an account, right now. A Forex broker will present you with information about an investment, and then allow you time to make up your own mind if you are interested in the investment or not. A pushy broker is one that could be trying to earn a commission or could be trying to scam you. Again, your Forex broker is a broker you should feel comfortable in dealing with on a daily or weekly basis, but for many people, you may only talk to your Forex broker once a month or even less than that.
Investing money is a big decision. When deciding what broker Forex advice to take, or where to seek broker Forex advice you can use the links on these pages, or you can use your local yellow pages to find a possible Forex broker in your town or city. Not many Forex brokers are located in small towns or cities but in larger areas where the population is larger and more people have a need for such Forex and investing information.
Choosing a forex broker may depend on your needs. If you are new to the field, there are houses, or online forex brokers who may cater to your needs, providing in-depth research, ample time to demo their product and so on. Other forex brokers are geared toward the experienced online forex trader. They too offer advice, but may be less likely to offer instructional help with the information, assuming that you may already know how it may or may not benefit you when you read it. It is advisable to read about and even run a demo on several different online forex brokers before going with one.

How To Choose A FOREX Broker

2009-12-07T17:14:00.000-08:00

Most investors who trade FOREX stocks use a broker. A broker is an individual or a company, who buys and sells stocks according to the investor's wishes. Brokers earn money by collecting commissions or fees for their services.You should check that a broker is registered as a Futures Commission Merchant (FCM) with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) as protection against fraud or abusive trade practices. A FOREX broker also needs to be associated with a financial institution, such as a bank in order to provide funds for margin trading. Picking the right FOREX broker for you will take some work on your part. There are brokers who charge a flat fee and some that charge commission. It may be a good idea to talk with friends and business associates about their brokers. You may get some good leads, and you're certain to hear who to stay away from. There is nothing like word of mouth advertising.If you are thinking of investing online, you could choose several online brokers and contact their help desks. Seeing how quickly they respond to your questions could be key in how they will respond to their customers needs. If you don't get a speedy reply and a satisfactory answer to your question you certainly wouldn't want to trust them with your business. Just be aware that as in other types of businesses, pre sales service might be better than after sales service.Before you choose an online broker get a copy of their online demo account. What features are included? Is the software reliable? Does it offer automatic trading? Are there extra software features that cost more?Before setting up an account with a FOREX broker you will need to do further investigation. How quickly will these brokers execute your buy/sell orders? What is their policy on slippage? What are the transaction fees? What is the spread, fixed or variable? What are the margin requirements and how are they calculated? Does the margin change with currency traded? Is it the same for mini accounts and standard accounts?Don't forget to ask about minimum account balances and interest payments on account balances. Make sure that your funds will be insured.About The AuthorWith currency trading becoming ever more popular, the number of brokers is growing at a rapid rate. What should one look at when deciding which broker to open an account with? These are the important points to consider.SpreadBecause currencies, unlike futures and stocks, are not traded through a central exchange, the spread can be different depending on the broker you use, so it's well worth checking a few out before you open an account. Most forex brokers publish live or delayed prices on their websites so you can compare spreads, but check if the spread is fixed or variable. A fixed spread means exactly that - it will always be the same no matter what time of day or night it is. Some brokers use a variable spread, which might appear to be nice and small when the market is quiet, but when things get busy they can widen the spread which means the market must move more in your favor before you start to make a profit. Fixed spreads are generally slightly wider than the variable spreads are when at their narrowest, but over the long term fixed can be safer.ExecutionSome brokers will show live prices on their trading platform, but will they honor them when it comes to pushing the Buy or Sell button? The best way to find out is to open a demo account and give them a test drive. This will also give you the opportunity to see what the speed of execution is like - when you want to buy, you want to buy now, not sit around waiting for ten minutes whilst your order is confirmed!Trading PlatformGood trading software will show live prices that you can actually trade at, not just indicative quotes. It will offer Limit and Stop orders, and ideally will let you attach these to your entry order. One-Cancels-Other orders are another useful feature - they mean you can set up your trade and then leave the software to get on with it. And the most important feature of all - can you actually understand the platform? Having all the bells and whistles is of no use if you can't use them, so again, get a demo account and give it a go.SupportForex is a 24 hour market, so your broker should offer 24 hour support. You might not be trading at 3am, but that could be what time it is in your brokers head office on the other side of the planet, so make sure there will be somebody there to pick up the phone if things go wrong. You should also check if you can close positions over the phone - essential in case your PC or internet connection crash at a critical moment.BackingFinally, before opening an account do a little homework and find out about the company. Forex brokers are regulated, but that doesn't mean they all have equal backing. If the market collapses, you want to know that they've got the reserves to cope with it and will still be around when you decide to withdraw your cash. If a broker is elusive when it comes to questions about their parentage and financial backing, then steer clear.In ConclusionChoosing a forex broker isn't difficult, but don't rush the decision. Check out a few, and always get a demo account first to make sure you're happy with the way everything works before sending off your opening balance.

Forex - You Need A Real System!

2009-12-07T17:12:00.000-08:00

Although it has been some years since I was actively involved in trading, I have just returned to the markets and have begun to trade a small account on my own behalf. This has perhaps given me a slightly skewed perspective of the markets, almost like a new entrant, but one with a lot of experience.There have been some big changes whilst I have been inactive, not least in the number of online brokerages fighting for every dollar.But many things stay the same, at the heart of which is one, I guess, unbreakable truth. Trading is basically a very simple business, with any trading stocks, options, FOREX, whatever only really involving three steps:1. Find several possible trades evaluate them and decide which to go for,2. Calculate how much to trade, and decide at what points to enter and exit the market3. Keeping an eye on, or monitoring, open market positionsNow, these three steps were basically all there was to it a few years ago, and they still And, guess what, people are still getting totally bogged down right here, at this early stage of the trading process, generally, for one of two reasons.The first possible reason is that they simply are not aware that these are the steps involved in the trading process, or (the second reason) they have no clearly defined rules for actioning these steps. Thus, less experienced, more nervous, traders can often take hours to evaluate a small number of potential trades.Experienced day traders, on the other hand, are fully aware that, with little time available to execute their trading, they must have a process plan and they must stick to it.A day trader will set out his (or her) plan of action something like this:1. Recognize the opportunity, enter the market2. Stay in the trade for as long as possible if it is going for him or3. Get the heck out of there with minimum losses, as soon as it is clear it is going to go the wrong wayThat s it! That s essentially what a day trader in any market was doing years ago, and that is what a day trader is still doing today, with little or no change to their working practices brought about by the vastly more advanced technology of today.Savvy day traders learn very quickly that they must plan ahead of time, so that they are in prime position to take full advantages of the opportunities that occur in real time.Thus, day trading, which on paper at least is a pretty dangerous and risky manner of working markets is, in fact, one of the most disciplined trading schools! By the nature of market movements and the way they operate, day traders simply cannot afford to run their trading business on a wing and a prayer!

Why Trade the Forex Market

2009-12-07T17:06:00.000-08:00

Trading the Forex market has become very popular in the last years. Technology advances like the internet have spawned this new trading craze, where anyone with a secure internet connection prepared to undertake a small amount of training can engage in trading foreign exchange on the forex market. Before the Internet, only corporations and wealthy individuals could trade currencies in the Forex market through the use of proprietary trading systems of banks, often through private banking. The foreign exchange market is one of the largest in the world if not the largest. It is more than 3 times larger than the stock/equities market and more than 5 times bigger than futures, give Forex traders nearly unlimited liquidity and flexibility. It has been estimated that approximately $2 trillion USD of currency exchanges hands each and every day. The foreign currency markets are very liquid because worldwide, the most powerful international banks provide a market around the clock. The Global foreign exchange market daily averages of the Bank for International Settlements in 1998 were $660 billion and now have increased to $2.3 trillion (2006). There is really no insider information in the forex markets. Since exchange rates are calculated by actual money flow as well as by the outlook of financial flowage, which takes into consideration such things as inflation, GDP changes, trade and budget deficits and surpluses, as well as interest rates, it would be difficult to come across so-called 'insider information'. All of these factors are self-evident, though different projected outlooks may prove more accurate than others. There is less room for market manipulation is there may be for thinly traded stocks. A equally important property of forex market is the fact that trends in forex market last longer and are more clearly defined than in any other trading instrument. Analysis of forex market charts also often displays identifiable chart patterns of price movement and once a pattern is established, the trend or pattern becomes the most probable course of future price action until the market changes. Because the FOREX market is so huge, there is no possibility of someone controlling the market price for a long time. When there are a lot of buyers and a lot of sellers, you can expect to buy or sell at a price that is very close to the last market price. The market maker in the forex market is usually a bank or brokerage company that provides during the trading day a bid and ask price. Example of forex market makers include CMS Forex, GFS, Forex, Forex Capital Markets (FXCM), and Global Forex Trading, all of which are regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) of the USA. Brokers offer clients access to online FX trading system, platform or software that can make it easy and fun to trade the market and usually there are usually no commission charges. With these trading systems and platforms you can trade the forex markets for free using the same state-of-the-art software packages that professional Forex traders use to help them make real-time, live currency trades. So individuals with a few hundreds of their own currency hope to buy and sell something for a smiling profit. Speculators trade to make a profit by purchasing one currency and simultaneously selling another. In conclusion I think the FOREX market is one of the best investment opportunities around today. There are great opportunities in the FOREX market because of the constant movements of the exchange rates. There is no surprise that more and more traders are turning to the foreign currency market to take advantage of the fluctuation in exchange currency rates as a way to speculate and trade to increase their capital and wealth.

Learn Forex Trading In An Innovative And Easy Way

2009-12-07T16:39:00.001-08:00

Why Learn Forex trading?The forex market is by far the largest market in the world. It is estimated that around $1.5 TRILLION is traded every single day. By far more then all the stock, bond and futures markets of the entire world combined! Forex or currency exchange is the term used to describe the trading of world currencies. A trade occurs when a trader simultaneously buy of one currency and sell of another one. E.g., to buy British pounds with US dollars. The currency combination used in a trade is called a pair.What does a forex trader do? Simple, buy a currency at a low value and sell it at a higher value, and in the process profit from it! For example, buy Great British Pounds with US Dollars, wait for the Pound rate to go up and make money! This can be done several times a day if the forex trader is a day trader or several times a week or month if the trader is a forex swing trader.What are the main benefits of trading in the forex market?Many currency pairs are very volatile. Volatility means that they move a lot during the day, from side to side, allowing traders to capture sometimes 5-6 price swings per day, each one potentially allowing the trader to make impressive profits.5-7 currency pairs to monitor (instead of over 10,000 stocks!), no commission trading, guaranteed fills for stop losses and limit orders, impressive leverage. The forex market is a 24 hour market. Never stops. This means that as a forex trader you can chose exactly when to trade. Some traders have day jobs and do not have the necessary time to trade during the day so they can trade at night. People who make their living as forex traders can chose to trade any time of the day or night. The point being, a 24 hour market allows the trader a lot of flexibility.What are the Exclusive benefits offered by forex trading?An incredible benefit of the forex industry is that today all forex brokers allow traders to open free demo accounts. This demo account has the full capabilities of a "real" account including live market rates, access to real-time market analysis, and the ability to execute trades off streaming prices. This means that the trader can test his or her strategies without risking a single dollar! No other business opportunity allows you to see if it works before you spend money!Making a living as a forex trader allows you to be truly free! No office, no workers, no inventory, no marketing worries, no advertising, no selling. Learning the right forex trading system allows the forex trader to trade by just following simple rules. If A happens and B happens then do C. This is called mechanical trading. It requires absolutely no discretion, interpretation or thinking from the trader.In conclusion, Learning forex trading provides all level of investors with a lot of opportunities that many markets and industries do not provide. The reason many people have not heard of this opportunity until recently is that until not long ago trading currencies was reserved to the big dogs (banks, institutions, companies etc). Today with the help of the internet anyone can take advantage of on-line currency trading that was once reserved to an exclusive group.

GBPUSD: Threats Seen Towards The 1.6267 Level

2009-12-07T08:17:00.000-08:00

GBPUSD- The pair saw an extension of its weakness triggered off the 1.6720 level today breaking below its short term rising trendline and turning focus to the 1.6267 level, its Nov 27’09 low. As referenced in our weekly analysis, the 1.6267 level, its Nov 27’09 low and its longer term rising trendline currently at 1.6226 must hold to preserve the pair’s recovery initiated from the 1.5706 level, its Oct 13’09 low or a break will accelerate a return to that level with the only level to overcome residing at its Oct 30’09 high at 1.6124.If the 1.5706 level is eventually traded, further declines could shape up towards its .50 Ret (1.3501-1.7041 rally) at 1.5273. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower suggesting further downside. On the upside, GBP must break and hold above its Nov 25’09 high at 1.6744 and the 1.6875 level, its Nov 16’0-09 high to reverse its current downside threats and turn focus to the 1.7041 level, its YTD high as where a break will resume its medium term uptrend towards its .50 Ret (2.1160-1.3501 decline) at 1.7314